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World Cup Betting Strategy from PinnacleSports.com

(PRWEB) June 1, 2006 -- The teams have qualified and the stage is set at Pinnacle Sportsbook for the biggest football party in history, the 2006 FIFA World Cup. Highly profitable for informed players everywhere, Germany 2006 will see 32 nations compete for football’s biggest prize.

 “  England -0.5 -140  
In major soccer
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 events like Germany 2006, the rules for how teams advance from each group can often impact coaching strategies. In the World Cup, qualification from the group stage has the top two teams from each group advancing to the knockout stage of the competition.

If two or more teams finish level on points (earning 3 points for a win and 1 point for a draw), tiebreakers are used. The first decider is goal difference, then total goals scored, followed by head-to-head results, and finally the drawing of lots.

One clear trend in a team’s final game at the group stages is when a certain match result will guarantee both teams advance. A classic example of this happened in Group C of the 2002 World Cup when Brazil played Turkey in the last match in their group.

If Turkey lost 2-1, drew or won, both Brazil and Turkey would advance. Savvy bettors identified this and bet on the exact score of the match, Brazil to win 2-1. Not surprisingly, that was the final score.

Another situation to look for is coaches who are content with a tie in the group stage. While every coach would like to win, it’s often more important during the pressure cauldron of a major tournament to simply not lose. In the 2002 World Cup, 13 out of 48 group stage matches ended in a draw and during France 98, 16 out of 48 group stage matches drew including 5 out of the first 16 opening matches played.

Betting the draw can be profitable if one carefully selects positions and looks for value when making bets. Unless there’s a strong angle it might be wiser to pass on the draw as typically the line has far more juice or bookmaker’s commission than an “Asian handicap”. An Asian handicap is like a bet on the point spread in the NFL – where there’s a spread and moneyline combined.

Pinnacle Sports offers reduced juice wagering on all soccer
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 markets and bettors will find exceptional pricing on the Asian handicap line for the World Cup. With online limits of $50,000 and 6-cent lines on Asian handicaps, Pinnacle Sportsbook offers up to 85% better odds than other bookmakers.

As it’s harder for most players to calculate the bookmaker’s commission on 3-way betting lines (home team, draw, away team) many sportsbooks will ‘hide’ additional juice on 3-way lines, offering substantially less value to the player. Bettors can find out how much juice they’re paying by checking the free multi-way calculator at PinnacleSports.com. Players will be amazed at what can be saved by betting Asian handicaps.

Bettors used to playing 3-way lines, can often make a similar bet on the Asian handicap at a much better price. If a team is a ½ goal favorite on the Asian handicap, betting that team either on a 3-way or on the Asian handicap will amount to the same thing – a winning bet if the team wins.

Take the Poland/Ecuador first round match-up. A bettor that likes Poland could play Poland -0.5 +104 on the Asian handicap, or Poland -105 on the 3-way line. In this case, 9 cents could be saved by shopping, even if the only out is PinnacleSports.com!

Another type of Asian handicap is the “quarter-ball” line. For example, if the line is “England -0.5 and -1 -105”, half the amount of a bet will be graded at -0.5 and the other half of the stake will be graded at -1. Some players get frustrated trying to compare prices between the quarter ball line and the Asian handicap. The general rule of thumb for handicaps is that a quarter-ball is worth about 35 cents. So if “England -0.5 and -1 -105” was the fair price, “England -0.5 -140” would be a similar price.

Who are the players betting on at the World Cup?

Will Brazil win the tournament? Yes +262

Brazil is a threat to win every World Cup and has won the competition a record five times. Recent wins include the 1994 and 2002 Cups while Brazil also lost in the 1998 final. Brazil opened as tournament favorites at +320. Although there’s been fairly balanced action, the soccer
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 specialists have been all over Brazil pushing the price down to +262.

Germany/Costa Rica Over 2.5 goals -124

World Cup hosts Germany kickoff the tournament in the opening match. Predictably, this is the highest volume game in the group stage thus far. While the spread betting on the Asian handicap has been very balanced, there’s a lot of money being bet on the over in many games across the board. Germany initially opened Over 2.5 at -110, and continuous pressure has forced the line up to -124.

Team to advance further: Mexico -290/United States +254

In October, this market opened with Mexico as -120 favorites. During qualifiers, the U.S. and Mexico tied in the CONCACAF qualifying region with 22 points each. Mexico has won 5 of its last 6 International friendlies, including wins over World Cup qualifiers, Ghana and Paraguay. The U.S. has won 6 of its last 8 games, but was crushed 4-1 by Germany in March and humbled 1-0 by Morocco just over one week ago.

Pinnacle Sports Book & Online Betting

Pinnacle Sportsbook is an online betting company providing the best odds on sportsbook gambling, online horseracing, online casino gaming, and online poker.

With excellent 24/7 customer service, fast payouts, and secure Internet betting, Pinnacle Sports Book satisfies all your sports book betting requirements and game wagering needs.

The Pinnacle Sports Book also offers reduced juice betting so sign-up now with Pinnacle SportsBook Betting and get wagering today.


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